AJC 2015 Survey of American Jewish Opinion Methodology
2015 Survey of American Jewish Opinion - Press Release
AJC's survey of 1,030 American Jews was conducted on KnowledgePanel®, GfK's probability-based online panel, from August 7-22, 2015. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.7 percent. AJC is a 501(c)(3) organization that neither supports nor opposes candidates for elective office.
1. Where would you place yourself on this scale?
LiberalLean Liberal
Moderate, Middle of the Road
Lean Conservative
Conservative 26.8
18.3
33.8
13.0
7.9
2. In politics today, do you consider yourself....
RepublicanDemocrat
Independent 19
48.6
32.1
3. If there is a presidential primary in your state next year, how likely is it that you will vote in that primary election?
Very likelyFairly likely
Fairly unlikely
Very unlikely 64.8
16.2
9.8
9.1
4. Here is the list of Democratic candidates, and the ten leading, based on criteria used to determine participation in the FOX News debate, Republican candidates for President. Who is currently your first choice for president? Second choice? Third choice?
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Martin O'Malley
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Webb First Choice
8.7
1.7
2.6
39.7
1.8
1.6
1.5
.6
3.8
2.7
17.8
10.2
2.8
.4 Second Choice
8.2
6.0
5.9
19.5
3.1
2.7
3.8
4.0
3.7
5.5
20.5
5.6
2.1
2.0 Third Choice
7.8
6.7
8.6
5.1
1.6
2.7
5.2
9.5
1.8
6.7
6.2
7.1
5.2
7.8
5. Among the following list of choices, what are the three most important issues, in order of priority, in deciding how you will vote in the 2016 presidential election (mark 1, 2, 3)?
Church-State Relations
Economy
Health Care
Immigration
Income Inequality
Iran's Nuclear Program
National Security
Race Relations
Supreme Court Appointments
U.S.-Israel Relations First
.8
41.7
12.0
3.7
11.6
3.8
12.3
.3
5.6
7.2 Second
1.0
19.9
22.2
9.7
9.3
6.3
14.5
2.8
5.4
7.6 Third
3.1
12.4
12.8
11.5
8.4
6.2
15.3
7.8
9.1
11.1
6. Do you think race relations in the United States are getting better, getting worse, or stay the same?
Getting BetterGetting Worse
Stay the Same 13.3
46.3
39.8
7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Obama is handling U.S.-Israel Relations?
Approve stronglyApprove somewhat
Disapprove somewhat
Disapprove strongly 8.9
40.0
21.4
27.5
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Obama is handling the threat posed by global terrorism?
Approve stronglyApprove somewhat
Disapprove somewhat
Disapprove strongly 13.1
40.7
21.2
23.9
9. Recently, the U.S., along with five other countries, reached a deal on Iran’s nuclear program. Do you approve or disapprove of this agreement?
Approve stronglyApprove somewhat
Disapprove somewhat
Disapprove strongly 16.4
34.2
19.8
27.4
10. How confident are you that this agreement will prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons?
<!--
Somewhat confident
Not so confident
Not at all confident 4.9
30.7
30.1
33.2
-->
11. Will Israel’s security be more threatened or less threatened by the Iran nuclear deal?
More ThreatenedLess Threatened
Stay the same 42.8
17.9
37.8
12. How confident are you about the ability of the U.S. and the IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) to monitor Iran’s compliance?
Very confidentSomewhat confident
Not so confident
Not at all confident 6.1
37.8
28.2
26.1
13. What role do you think the U.S. should play in solving international problems?
The leading roleA major role, but not the leading role
A minor role
No role at all 18.7
60.8
15.1
4.6
14. I would like you to rate your feelings towards some countries and international bodies, with 100 meaning a very warm, favorable feeling, 0 meaning a very cold, unfavorable feeling, and 50 meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from 0 to 100. How would you rate your feelings toward...
Argentina
Brazil
Canada
China
Egypt
European Union
France
Germany
India
Japan
Jordan
Mexico
Russia
Saudi Arabia
Turkey
United States
UN
The Vatican Mean Score
51.35
54.95
84.73
37.42
38.07
59.90
55.39
58.15
50.66
62.62
42.07
47.81
30.99
29.27
38.60
84.64
53.81
50.10
15. Which of these do you consider to be the biggest threat to the United States today?
ChinaIran
ISIS (Islamic State>
North Korea
Russia
None of the above 12.8
9.5
51.0
6.0
10.1
8.2
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is handling the U.S.-Israel relationship?
Approve stronglyApprove somewhat
Disapprove somewhat
Disapprove strongly 16.2
39.2
26.2
16.0
17. Compared to one year ago, do you think prospects for Israeli-Palestinian peace have...
IncreasedDecreased
Stayed the same 4.1
35.7
58.5
18. How would you characterize the U.S.-Israel relationship today?
<!--
Fairly Good
Fairly Poor
Very Poor 4.5
48.7
32.7
7.9
-->
19. Is the U.S.-Israel relationship getting better or getting worse?
BetterWorse
Stay the same 4.7
51.9
42.2
20. If getting worse, who is primarily at fault?
United StatesIsrael
Both equally 27.7
9.4
14.5
21. As part of a permanent settlement with the Palestinians, should Israel be willing to dismantle all, some, or none of the Jewish settlements in the West Bank?
AllSome
None 14.0
44.9
39.2
22. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “The goal of the Arabs is not a peaceful two-state agreement with Israel, but rather the destruction of Israel.”
AgreeDisagree 73.1
25.1
23. Do you favor or oppose the establishment of a Palestinian state?
FavorOppose 51.9
46.1
24. Is antisemitism currently a problem in the United States?
Yes, a very serious problemYes, somewhat of a problem
No, not a problem at all 20.8
64.2
13.8
25. In your opinion, what proportion of each of the following groups in the U.S. is antisemitic?
AsiansMost
Many
Very Few
None
1.9
7.4
71.5
14.7 Muslims
Most
Many
Very Few
None
35.7
39.1
17.7
3.8 Hispanics
Most
Many
Very Few
None
1.1
16.8
67.2
10.3 Blacks
Most
Many
Very Few
None
5.7
29.6
53.0
7.3 Evangelical Protestants
Most
Many
Very Few
None
8.3
27.0
49.2
10.4 Catholics
Most
Many
Very Few
None
4.0
20.7
62.4
7.8
26. Is antisemitism currently a problem on the American college campus?
<!--
Yes, somewhat of a problem
No, not a problem at all 20.4
53.8
23.7
-->
27. Is antisemitism currently a problem in Europe?
Yes, a very serious problemYes, somewhat of a problem
No, not a problem at all 45.5
44.4
7.9
28. In your opinion, what proportion of each of the following groups in Europe is antisemitic?
The political far rightMost
Many
Very Few
None
20.1
37.8
33.6
3.6 The political far left
Most
Many
Very Few
None
9.6
31.9
47.3
6.2 Muslims
Most
Many
Very Few
None
39.8
33.4
17.9
4.3
29. Do you believe that Jews have a future in Europe?
<!--
No, Jews don’t have a future in Europe
Not sure 58.8
9.6
30.5
-->
30. Is antisemitism currently a problem in the Arab world?
Yes, a very serious problemYes, somewhat of a problem
No, not a problem at all 75.5
19.2
3.8
31. Do you think of yourself as....
OrthodoxConservative
Reconstructionist
Reform
Just Jewish 8.1
17.6
1.3
34.9
37.0
32. How important is being Jewish in your life?
Very importantSomewhat important
Not too important
Not at all important 32.4
30.8
19.6
16.6
33. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Caring about Israel is a very important part of my being a Jew.”
Agree stronglyAgree somewhat
Disagree somewhat
Disagree strongly 32.8
39.0
16.7
10.4
34. Which of these statements best represents your opinion of the role of religion in the State of Israel?
Religion should play more of a roleReligion should play less of a role
The current relationship is best
There should be separation of religion and state 9.3
25.2
26.4
37.0
